An operational multiscale system for hazards prediction, mapping, and response

By definition, a crisis is a situation that requires assistance to be managed. Hence, response to a crisis involves the merging of local and non-local emergency response personnel. In this situation, it is critical that each participant: (1) know the roles and responsibilities of each of the other participants; (2) know the capabilities of each of the participants; and (3) have a common basis for action. For many types of natural disasters, this entails having a common operational picture of the unfolding events, including detailed information on the weather, both current and forecasted, that may impact on either the emergency itself or on response activities. The Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) is a comprehensive package of hazard prediction models and casualty and damage assessment tools that provides a linkage between a modeled or observed effect and the attendant consequences for populations, infrastructure, and resources, and, hence, provides the common operational picture for emergency response. The Operational Multiscale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) is an atmospheric simulation system that links the latest methods in computational fluid dynamics and high-resolution gridding technologies with numerical weather prediction to provide specific weather analysis and forecast capability that can be merged into the geographic information system framework of CATS. This paper documents the problem of emergency response as an end-to-end system and presents the integrated CATS–OMEGA system as a prototype of such a system that has been used successfully in a number of different situations.     

黄山高速滑移弯曲边坡变形机理分析及应急治理对策

黄山高速公路穿行于皖南山区,公路建设过程中,汤口互通A匝道高边坡产生了大范围变形,严重威胁已有构筑物和施工安全。为保证边坡稳定,成立“应急指挥小组”,建立快速反应机制,并采用工程地质测绘、勘探、监测等手段,快速查明边坡结构特征,分析边坡变形机理和稳定性,提出应急治理方案。分析表明,该边坡为层间软弱夹层[JP2]发育的砂泥岩互层型顺向边坡,地质历史上边坡曾发生滑移—弯曲变形,公路施工时对弯曲隆起部位岩体进行开挖,引起坡体产生快速变形,在降雨、开挖等条件下,边坡产生整体失稳的可能性极大。在分析边坡变形机制基础上,应用变形控制理论,确定对边坡采取桩锚结合、综合排水的应急治理措施,并根据变形特点提出了应急治理施工步骤。应急治理措施实施后,边坡变形得到了有效控制,稳定性达到了高速公路的安全要求     

基于WiMAX的地质灾害应急无线通信系统探索

基于OFDM核心技术的WiMAX(全球微波接入互操作性)具有4G技术的特点。与3G和WiFi无线通讯技术相比具有明显的高速率、大容量数据传输优势。本文就基于WiMAX的地质灾害应急通讯系统的几种技术方案加以详细论述,说明WiMAX在地质灾害应急指挥中具有广阔前景。     

论城市应急避险场所建设

做好减灾工作,加强应急避险场所建设是一项重要的任务,是落实以人为本,构建和谐社会的具体体现之一。1城市应急避险场所的性质笔者认为,城市避险场所的定义为:城市应急避险场所是为城市或城镇受到各种灾害侵袭而暂时离开居所的人群临时提供的、利用各种空旷场地和大型馆所预先设立的躲避灾难、居留和生活的公共场所。各种灾害包括自然灾害、事故灾难、突发公共卫生灾害、突发社会安全事件等。受助人群包括当地居民以及受灾当地的外来人群。避险场所提供的是临时性的居留场所,其基本服务是政府免费提供的,一旦灾难结束或受灾家园得到重建,停…     

云南宁蒗地震应急对策与探讨

0引言1998年8月至2000年1月在云南省丽江地区宁蒗县境内先后发生13次4~6.2级地震。这一组强震事件前,丽江行署地震局前方工作组、宁蒗县地震局根据多年的预报经验两次向中国地震局和省地震局填报了临震预报卡,准确判定了各个阶段的震情发展趋势,较成功地实现了对这组地震事件的临震预报。与此同时,向丽江地委、行署、宁蒗县委、县政府等明确提出了地震应急对策措施和建议。震前行署地震局前方工作组到极震区的烂泥箐乡开展了防震减灾科普知识宣传活动,为地方政府和震区的人民群众在震前及时实施各项有效的防震减灾措施奠定了基础,对减少灾区…     

Marine riser emergency disconnection analysis using scalar elements for tensioner modelling

This work proposes nonlinear parallel spring-damper scalar elements in series with a rigid beam element to represent drilling riser tensioner behavior during an emergency disconnection scenario in global riser analysis. The software package used was Orcaflex. This is a simpler approach than the more complex, full hydraulic-pneumatic-mechanic dynamic simulation modelling of the tensioning system, commonly used in literature, which can be time consuming and numerically more sensitive. The model can also be used to represent top tension variation in global riser analysis, allowing for more complex and precise simulations, especially for fatigue life and overpull estimations. The results show adequate agreement with the researched bibliography.     

基于GIS的天津市应急避难场所选址评价

应急避难场所在城市应急管理体系中占有重要地位，对已建成的应急避难场所选址进行评价，可为应急避难场所个体改进、布局优化和新建选址提供依据。本文在文献研究与天津市城市特点分析的基础上，从有效性、安全性、可达性3个维度构建包含8个评价因子的应急避难场所选址适宜性评价指标体系，应用层次分析法（AHP）确定指标权重。应用GIS空间分析技术建立应急避难场所空间点位分析模型和覆盖范围模型，对天津市27个应急避难场所进行适宜性评价，并对中心城区14个应急避难场所进行满足性评价。结果表明，天津市应急避难场所具有良好的基础，但总体适宜性水平有待进一步提高，尤其是安全性亟需加强；天津市中心城区人口密集，但应急避难场所数量少，服务区域有限，存在较大范围的覆盖盲区，其中和平区人均有效避难面积仅0.2m2，远小于人体最低占用面积0.6m2，达不到人均有效避难要求。     

防震减灾 造福人民——谈山西大同县的防震减灾工作

文章从深化认识、领导重视、强化宣传地震知识、科学测报、加强督查五方面论述了山西大同县的防震减灾工作。认识到,只有做好防震减灾工作才能减轻地震灾害,确保人民生命财产的安全。     

Risk, rescue and emergency services: The changing spatialities of Mountain Rescue Teams in England and Wales

This paper considers the role of the emergency services in society and, in particular, their role in controlling, mitigating and resolving risk. Using a network approach, Mountain Rescue Teams are studied in order to examine how people, agencies, animals, technology and knowledge are deployed to resolve emergencies. The paper traces the changing nature of risk in rural places and the impact of state regulation on the deployment, spatialities and practices of the emergency services. In doing so, it argues that greater attention should be paid to the emergency services by geographers.     

GIS-based cost distance modelling to support strategic maritime search and rescue planning: A feasibility study

Geographic information system (GIS) based methodologies are widely used to various problems. However, its potential for application to strategic maritime search and rescue (SAR) planning remains largely unexplored. To investigate the applicability of GIS-based tools to this problem, this paper presents an approach to evaluate accessibility and response times in a sea area. Such information aids to objectify the response effectiveness of a SAR system, which is important for rational resource allocation. The presented methodology accounts for the main characteristics of maritime response, namely spatial accessibility, capabilities of search and rescue units (SRUs) and prevailing wave conditions, which affect the attainable SRU speeds. An application to the Finnish areas of the Gulf of Finland is shown. Despite the existence of some difficulties with currently available tools (e.g. accurate and user-friendly spatial wave models and challenges with using raster-based methods in topologically complex areas) and limitations in knowledge (e.g. the SRU capabilities in actual operations), the results indicate that the methodology provides good opportunities for enhancing maritime decision making.